Probability of Voting

Use the results from the first two homework assignments, what you have learned in class and from reading the textbook for the course to answer the following questions. Did assigning a person to get an encouraging phone call to increase their probability of voting? Can we get an estimate of the causal effect of getting a call encouraging you to vote on your probability of voting with nonexperimental data by using regression to adjust for differences between people who got a call and those that didn’t (why or why not)? Be clear on what is going wrong.  Structure of Paper You can use the papers in the complementary reading list folder as a guide for what a paper should look like. Put your tables at the end of the paper in order of when they were referenced in the body. Your paper should be 10 pages long without counting tables and you may want to include the following sections: Abstract: One paragraph that sums the paper up. Write this first. Intro: One page that sums the paper up with more detail than the abstract. Should tell the reader why the questions the paper answers are important(Motivation) and cover data, econometric methods, results, and conclusion. Data: Describe the data you use in the analysis and how it was generated. You may need to do some research online. Methods: Describe the statistical methods used. Include the equations for the regressions you will run. Results: Describe and interpret your statistical findings. Conclusion: Interpret your findings. Remember: This paper is more about comparing and contrasting two methods of inference (RCT-random control trial vs. regression adjustment), not about evaluating whether receiving a phone-call encourages you to vote

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